Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 10:20 AM, 108 voters in 23 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 203,678 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 121,042 - 270,244). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward

ward	time_of_day	turnout	turnout_p025	turnout_p975
01	10:20 AM	2617	c(2.5% = 1840)	c(97.5% = 3229)
02	10:20 AM	4213	c(2.5% = 3066)	c(97.5% = 5269)
03	10:20 AM	2631	c(2.5% = 1505)	c(97.5% = 3505)
04	10:20 AM	2698	c(2.5% = 1504)	c(97.5% = 3733)
05	10:20 AM	6249	c(2.5% = 4210)	c(97.5% = 7643)
06	10:20 AM	1764	c(2.5% = 1058)	c(97.5% = 2378)
07	10:20 AM	2047	c(2.5% = 789)	c(97.5% = 3560)
08	10:20 AM	5943	c(2.5% = 4132)	c(97.5% = 7271)
09	10:20 AM	2865	c(2.5% = 2053)	c(97.5% = 3712)
10	10:20 AM	3804	c(2.5% = 2282)	c(97.5% = 5228)
11	10:20 AM	1736	c(2.5% = 948)	c(97.5% = 2432)
12	10:20 AM	2908	c(2.5% = 1682)	c(97.5% = 3987)
13	10:20 AM	2648	c(2.5% = 1500)	c(97.5% = 3658)
14	10:20 AM	1119	c(2.5% = 689)	c(97.5% = 1486)
15	10:20 AM	3062	c(2.5% = 2156)	c(97.5% = 3835)
16	10:20 AM	1479	c(2.5% = 772)	c(97.5% = 2125)
17	10:20 AM	3219	c(2.5% = 1849)	c(97.5% = 4404)
18	10:20 AM	2579	c(2.5% = 1690)	c(97.5% = 3222)
19	10:20 AM	1480	c(2.5% = 645)	c(97.5% = 2413)
20	10:20 AM	1361	c(2.5% = 690)	c(97.5% = 2012)
21	10:20 AM	7196	c(2.5% = 4612)	c(97.5% = 8954)
22	10:20 AM	3872	c(2.5% = 2683)	c(97.5% = 4883)
23	10:20 AM	2492	c(2.5% = 1351)	c(97.5% = 3436)
24	10:20 AM	2040	c(2.5% = 1165)	c(97.5% = 2775)
25	10:20 AM	2076	c(2.5% = 1101)	c(97.5% = 2831)
26	10:20 AM	2740	c(2.5% = 1737)	c(97.5% = 3417)
27	10:20 AM	3547	c(2.5% = 2014)	c(97.5% = 4791)
28	10:20 AM	1572	c(2.5% = 824)	c(97.5% = 2248)
29	10:20 AM	1476	c(2.5% = 893)	c(97.5% = 1969)
30	10:20 AM	2745	c(2.5% = 1936)	c(97.5% = 3439)
31	10:20 AM	2280	c(2.5% = 1631)	c(97.5% = 2788)
32	10:20 AM	2587	c(2.5% = 1358)	c(97.5% = 3698)
33	10:20 AM	2312	c(2.5% = 979)	c(97.5% = 3738)
34	10:20 AM	5388	c(2.5% = 3278)	c(97.5% = 7164)
35	10:20 AM	3781	c(2.5% = 2035)	c(97.5% = 5240)
36	10:20 AM	4301	c(2.5% = 2621)	c(97.5% = 5699)
37	10:20 AM	1693	c(2.5% = 862)	c(97.5% = 2496)
38	10:20 AM	2679	c(2.5% = 1661)	c(97.5% = 3508)
39	10:20 AM	5183	c(2.5% = 3444)	c(97.5% = 6293)
40	10:20 AM	5680	c(2.5% = 3224)	c(97.5% = 7804)
41	10:20 AM	2345	c(2.5% = 1228)	c(97.5% = 3189)
42	10:20 AM	3009	c(2.5% = 1484)	c(97.5% = 4463)
43	10:20 AM	2425	c(2.5% = 1110)	c(97.5% = 3878)
44	10:20 AM	1814	c(2.5% = 1012)	c(97.5% = 2507)
45	10:20 AM	2600	c(2.5% = 1417)	c(97.5% = 3523)
46	10:20 AM	3230	c(2.5% = 2195)	c(97.5% = 4168)
47	10:20 AM	1064	c(2.5% = 598)	c(97.5% = 1485)
48	10:20 AM	2524	c(2.5% = 1454)	c(97.5% = 3417)
49	10:20 AM	3268	c(2.5% = 1827)	c(97.5% = 4547)
50	10:20 AM	4327	c(2.5% = 2807)	c(97.5% = 5675)
51	10:20 AM	2899	c(2.5% = 1671)	c(97.5% = 4052)
52	10:20 AM	3476	c(2.5% = 2189)	c(97.5% = 4574)
53	10:20 AM	2615	c(2.5% = 1383)	c(97.5% = 3640)
54	10:20 AM	1952	c(2.5% = 945)	c(97.5% = 2806)
55	10:20 AM	3061	c(2.5% = 1623)	c(97.5% = 4130)
56	10:20 AM	4345	c(2.5% = 2454)	c(97.5% = 5687)
57	10:20 AM	3680	c(2.5% = 2159)	c(97.5% = 4752)
58	10:20 AM	6231	c(2.5% = 3567)	c(97.5% = 8145)
59	10:20 AM	3065	c(2.5% = 1826)	c(97.5% = 4129)
60	10:20 AM	2456	c(2.5% = 1455)	c(97.5% = 3321)
61	10:20 AM	3786	c(2.5% = 2134)	c(97.5% = 5262)
62	10:20 AM	2888	c(2.5% = 1451)	c(97.5% = 4083)
63	10:20 AM	3466	c(2.5% = 2126)	c(97.5% = 4400)
64	10:20 AM	2051	c(2.5% = 1127)	c(97.5% = 2737)
65	10:20 AM	2900	c(2.5% = 1704)	c(97.5% = 3753)
66	10:20 AM	6135	c(2.5% = 3583)	c(97.5% = 7975)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data

Time of Vote	Precinct	Voter Number
7:10 AM	5107	2
7:41 AM	0537	24
7:42 AM	0501	14
7:43 AM	0828	33
7:03 AM	2714	2
7:40 AM	1508	38
7:48 AM	1503	38
7:48 AM	1503	38
7:25 AM	0214	16
7:56 AM	3636	33
7:13 AM	0218	9
8:07 AM	4603	27
8:16 AM	0218	60
8:18 AM	0222	68
8:10 AM	1810	36
8:20 AM	3635	57
8:30 AM	3110	55
8:32 AM	0532	69
8:30 AM	2707	45
8:32 AM	2702	48
8:15 AM	3901	52
8:15 AM	3640	64
8:38 AM	3638	55
8:38 AM	3637	31
8:42 AM	0525	64
8:40 AM	0501	36
7:30 AM	0202	28
8:40 AM	0537	56
8:12 AM	4616	41
8:35 AM	3909	65
8:43 AM	0517	69
8:49 AM	0834	73
8:49 AM	0206	69
8:50 AM	0828	77
8:07 AM	0801	40
7:30 AM	3640	31
7:30 AM	3104	29
8:50 AM	0213	25
8:40 AM	2717	56
8:45 AM	2101	47
8:25 AM	3945	52
7:48 AM	1503	38
7:48 AM	1503	38
9:02 AM	1503	92
7:15 AM	0902	12
8:40 AM	2717	56
7:01 AM	0807	13
9:09 AM	4701	73
8:50 AM	0213	25
9:10 AM	1514	81
7:55 AM	1517	30
9:00 AM	3914	40
8:00 AM	5702	60
8:30 AM	2105	91
8:30 AM	2105	91
9:15 AM	2714	51
8:15 AM	2605	56
9:20 AM	3637	100
9:20 AM	3638	79
8:30 AM	0521	92
9:20 AM	0532	112
9:15 AM	1802	73
9:24 AM	2911	62
9:03 AM	0229	95
9:23 AM	0812	138
8:50 AM	0828	77
9:00 AM	3107	100
9:15 AM	3639	86
9:15 AM	0120	76
9:30 AM	0308	109
9:30 AM	0807	98
9:25 AM	3610	84
9:34 AM	0818	50
9:34 AM	0818	50
9:35 AM	0817	107
8:40 AM	1514	68
8:00 AM	0106	69
8:40 AM	1514	68
9:38 AM	6008	49
9:30 AM	3636	108
7:15 AM	0114	9
9:46 AM	3111	104
9:47 AM	0204	72
9:50 AM	0505	92
9:55 AM	0528	148
9:45 AM	0224	110
9:45 AM	0224	109
7:45 AM	0517	35
9:58 AM	3636	120
9:49 AM	2212	74
8:00 AM	0817	100
10:05 AM	1503	129
10:02 AM	0517	135
8:15 AM	3516	56
7:20 AM	2217	17
8:15 AM	3516	56
7:40 AM	2105	45
10:00 AM	0110	97
9:40 AM	0222	97
10:00 AM	2622	82
10:03 AM	3006	101
8:15 AM	2619	77
10:02 AM	0835	100
10:18 AM	3104	156
10:20 AM	4701	114
7:45 AM	0516	41
10:18 AM	0515	420
8:28 AM	0516	70

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions