Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 10:20 AM, 108 voters in 23 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 203,678 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 121,042 - 270,244). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 10:20 AM 2617 c(2.5% = 1840) c(97.5% = 3229)
02 10:20 AM 4213 c(2.5% = 3066) c(97.5% = 5269)
03 10:20 AM 2631 c(2.5% = 1505) c(97.5% = 3505)
04 10:20 AM 2698 c(2.5% = 1504) c(97.5% = 3733)
05 10:20 AM 6249 c(2.5% = 4210) c(97.5% = 7643)
06 10:20 AM 1764 c(2.5% = 1058) c(97.5% = 2378)
07 10:20 AM 2047 c(2.5% = 789) c(97.5% = 3560)
08 10:20 AM 5943 c(2.5% = 4132) c(97.5% = 7271)
09 10:20 AM 2865 c(2.5% = 2053) c(97.5% = 3712)
10 10:20 AM 3804 c(2.5% = 2282) c(97.5% = 5228)
11 10:20 AM 1736 c(2.5% = 948) c(97.5% = 2432)
12 10:20 AM 2908 c(2.5% = 1682) c(97.5% = 3987)
13 10:20 AM 2648 c(2.5% = 1500) c(97.5% = 3658)
14 10:20 AM 1119 c(2.5% = 689) c(97.5% = 1486)
15 10:20 AM 3062 c(2.5% = 2156) c(97.5% = 3835)
16 10:20 AM 1479 c(2.5% = 772) c(97.5% = 2125)
17 10:20 AM 3219 c(2.5% = 1849) c(97.5% = 4404)
18 10:20 AM 2579 c(2.5% = 1690) c(97.5% = 3222)
19 10:20 AM 1480 c(2.5% = 645) c(97.5% = 2413)
20 10:20 AM 1361 c(2.5% = 690) c(97.5% = 2012)
21 10:20 AM 7196 c(2.5% = 4612) c(97.5% = 8954)
22 10:20 AM 3872 c(2.5% = 2683) c(97.5% = 4883)
23 10:20 AM 2492 c(2.5% = 1351) c(97.5% = 3436)
24 10:20 AM 2040 c(2.5% = 1165) c(97.5% = 2775)
25 10:20 AM 2076 c(2.5% = 1101) c(97.5% = 2831)
26 10:20 AM 2740 c(2.5% = 1737) c(97.5% = 3417)
27 10:20 AM 3547 c(2.5% = 2014) c(97.5% = 4791)
28 10:20 AM 1572 c(2.5% = 824) c(97.5% = 2248)
29 10:20 AM 1476 c(2.5% = 893) c(97.5% = 1969)
30 10:20 AM 2745 c(2.5% = 1936) c(97.5% = 3439)
31 10:20 AM 2280 c(2.5% = 1631) c(97.5% = 2788)
32 10:20 AM 2587 c(2.5% = 1358) c(97.5% = 3698)
33 10:20 AM 2312 c(2.5% = 979) c(97.5% = 3738)
34 10:20 AM 5388 c(2.5% = 3278) c(97.5% = 7164)
35 10:20 AM 3781 c(2.5% = 2035) c(97.5% = 5240)
36 10:20 AM 4301 c(2.5% = 2621) c(97.5% = 5699)
37 10:20 AM 1693 c(2.5% = 862) c(97.5% = 2496)
38 10:20 AM 2679 c(2.5% = 1661) c(97.5% = 3508)
39 10:20 AM 5183 c(2.5% = 3444) c(97.5% = 6293)
40 10:20 AM 5680 c(2.5% = 3224) c(97.5% = 7804)
41 10:20 AM 2345 c(2.5% = 1228) c(97.5% = 3189)
42 10:20 AM 3009 c(2.5% = 1484) c(97.5% = 4463)
43 10:20 AM 2425 c(2.5% = 1110) c(97.5% = 3878)
44 10:20 AM 1814 c(2.5% = 1012) c(97.5% = 2507)
45 10:20 AM 2600 c(2.5% = 1417) c(97.5% = 3523)
46 10:20 AM 3230 c(2.5% = 2195) c(97.5% = 4168)
47 10:20 AM 1064 c(2.5% = 598) c(97.5% = 1485)
48 10:20 AM 2524 c(2.5% = 1454) c(97.5% = 3417)
49 10:20 AM 3268 c(2.5% = 1827) c(97.5% = 4547)
50 10:20 AM 4327 c(2.5% = 2807) c(97.5% = 5675)
51 10:20 AM 2899 c(2.5% = 1671) c(97.5% = 4052)
52 10:20 AM 3476 c(2.5% = 2189) c(97.5% = 4574)
53 10:20 AM 2615 c(2.5% = 1383) c(97.5% = 3640)
54 10:20 AM 1952 c(2.5% = 945) c(97.5% = 2806)
55 10:20 AM 3061 c(2.5% = 1623) c(97.5% = 4130)
56 10:20 AM 4345 c(2.5% = 2454) c(97.5% = 5687)
57 10:20 AM 3680 c(2.5% = 2159) c(97.5% = 4752)
58 10:20 AM 6231 c(2.5% = 3567) c(97.5% = 8145)
59 10:20 AM 3065 c(2.5% = 1826) c(97.5% = 4129)
60 10:20 AM 2456 c(2.5% = 1455) c(97.5% = 3321)
61 10:20 AM 3786 c(2.5% = 2134) c(97.5% = 5262)
62 10:20 AM 2888 c(2.5% = 1451) c(97.5% = 4083)
63 10:20 AM 3466 c(2.5% = 2126) c(97.5% = 4400)
64 10:20 AM 2051 c(2.5% = 1127) c(97.5% = 2737)
65 10:20 AM 2900 c(2.5% = 1704) c(97.5% = 3753)
66 10:20 AM 6135 c(2.5% = 3583) c(97.5% = 7975)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48
8:15 AM 3901 52
8:15 AM 3640 64
8:38 AM 3638 55
8:38 AM 3637 31
8:42 AM 0525 64
8:40 AM 0501 36
7:30 AM 0202 28
8:40 AM 0537 56
8:12 AM 4616 41
8:35 AM 3909 65
8:43 AM 0517 69
8:49 AM 0834 73
8:49 AM 0206 69
8:50 AM 0828 77
8:07 AM 0801 40
7:30 AM 3640 31
7:30 AM 3104 29
8:50 AM 0213 25
8:40 AM 2717 56
8:45 AM 2101 47
8:25 AM 3945 52
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
9:02 AM 1503 92
7:15 AM 0902 12
8:40 AM 2717 56
7:01 AM 0807 13
9:09 AM 4701 73
8:50 AM 0213 25
9:10 AM 1514 81
7:55 AM 1517 30
9:00 AM 3914 40
8:00 AM 5702 60
8:30 AM 2105 91
8:30 AM 2105 91
9:15 AM 2714 51
8:15 AM 2605 56
9:20 AM 3637 100
9:20 AM 3638 79
8:30 AM 0521 92
9:20 AM 0532 112
9:15 AM 1802 73
9:24 AM 2911 62
9:03 AM 0229 95
9:23 AM 0812 138
8:50 AM 0828 77
9:00 AM 3107 100
9:15 AM 3639 86
9:15 AM 0120 76
9:30 AM 0308 109
9:30 AM 0807 98
9:25 AM 3610 84
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:35 AM 0817 107
8:40 AM 1514 68
8:00 AM 0106 69
8:40 AM 1514 68
9:38 AM 6008 49
9:30 AM 3636 108
7:15 AM 0114 9
9:46 AM 3111 104
9:47 AM 0204 72
9:50 AM 0505 92
9:55 AM 0528 148
9:45 AM 0224 110
9:45 AM 0224 109
7:45 AM 0517 35
9:58 AM 3636 120
9:49 AM 2212 74
8:00 AM 0817 100
10:05 AM 1503 129
10:02 AM 0517 135
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:20 AM 2217 17
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:40 AM 2105 45
10:00 AM 0110 97
9:40 AM 0222 97
10:00 AM 2622 82
10:03 AM 3006 101
8:15 AM 2619 77
10:02 AM 0835 100
10:18 AM 3104 156
10:20 AM 4701 114
7:45 AM 0516 41
10:18 AM 0515 420
8:28 AM 0516 70

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions