Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.
First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.
As of 10:20 AM, 108 voters in 23 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 203,678 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 121,042 - 270,244). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.
I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.
For those of you who like tables with numbers.
| ward | time_of_day | turnout | turnout_p025 | turnout_p975 |
| 01 | 10:20 AM | 2617 |
c(2.5% = 1840)
|
c(97.5% = 3229)
|
| 02 | 10:20 AM | 4213 |
c(2.5% = 3066)
|
c(97.5% = 5269)
|
| 03 | 10:20 AM | 2631 |
c(2.5% = 1505)
|
c(97.5% = 3505)
|
| 04 | 10:20 AM | 2698 |
c(2.5% = 1504)
|
c(97.5% = 3733)
|
| 05 | 10:20 AM | 6249 |
c(2.5% = 4210)
|
c(97.5% = 7643)
|
| 06 | 10:20 AM | 1764 |
c(2.5% = 1058)
|
c(97.5% = 2378)
|
| 07 | 10:20 AM | 2047 |
c(2.5% = 789)
|
c(97.5% = 3560)
|
| 08 | 10:20 AM | 5943 |
c(2.5% = 4132)
|
c(97.5% = 7271)
|
| 09 | 10:20 AM | 2865 |
c(2.5% = 2053)
|
c(97.5% = 3712)
|
| 10 | 10:20 AM | 3804 |
c(2.5% = 2282)
|
c(97.5% = 5228)
|
| 11 | 10:20 AM | 1736 |
c(2.5% = 948)
|
c(97.5% = 2432)
|
| 12 | 10:20 AM | 2908 |
c(2.5% = 1682)
|
c(97.5% = 3987)
|
| 13 | 10:20 AM | 2648 |
c(2.5% = 1500)
|
c(97.5% = 3658)
|
| 14 | 10:20 AM | 1119 |
c(2.5% = 689)
|
c(97.5% = 1486)
|
| 15 | 10:20 AM | 3062 |
c(2.5% = 2156)
|
c(97.5% = 3835)
|
| 16 | 10:20 AM | 1479 |
c(2.5% = 772)
|
c(97.5% = 2125)
|
| 17 | 10:20 AM | 3219 |
c(2.5% = 1849)
|
c(97.5% = 4404)
|
| 18 | 10:20 AM | 2579 |
c(2.5% = 1690)
|
c(97.5% = 3222)
|
| 19 | 10:20 AM | 1480 |
c(2.5% = 645)
|
c(97.5% = 2413)
|
| 20 | 10:20 AM | 1361 |
c(2.5% = 690)
|
c(97.5% = 2012)
|
| 21 | 10:20 AM | 7196 |
c(2.5% = 4612)
|
c(97.5% = 8954)
|
| 22 | 10:20 AM | 3872 |
c(2.5% = 2683)
|
c(97.5% = 4883)
|
| 23 | 10:20 AM | 2492 |
c(2.5% = 1351)
|
c(97.5% = 3436)
|
| 24 | 10:20 AM | 2040 |
c(2.5% = 1165)
|
c(97.5% = 2775)
|
| 25 | 10:20 AM | 2076 |
c(2.5% = 1101)
|
c(97.5% = 2831)
|
| 26 | 10:20 AM | 2740 |
c(2.5% = 1737)
|
c(97.5% = 3417)
|
| 27 | 10:20 AM | 3547 |
c(2.5% = 2014)
|
c(97.5% = 4791)
|
| 28 | 10:20 AM | 1572 |
c(2.5% = 824)
|
c(97.5% = 2248)
|
| 29 | 10:20 AM | 1476 |
c(2.5% = 893)
|
c(97.5% = 1969)
|
| 30 | 10:20 AM | 2745 |
c(2.5% = 1936)
|
c(97.5% = 3439)
|
| 31 | 10:20 AM | 2280 |
c(2.5% = 1631)
|
c(97.5% = 2788)
|
| 32 | 10:20 AM | 2587 |
c(2.5% = 1358)
|
c(97.5% = 3698)
|
| 33 | 10:20 AM | 2312 |
c(2.5% = 979)
|
c(97.5% = 3738)
|
| 34 | 10:20 AM | 5388 |
c(2.5% = 3278)
|
c(97.5% = 7164)
|
| 35 | 10:20 AM | 3781 |
c(2.5% = 2035)
|
c(97.5% = 5240)
|
| 36 | 10:20 AM | 4301 |
c(2.5% = 2621)
|
c(97.5% = 5699)
|
| 37 | 10:20 AM | 1693 |
c(2.5% = 862)
|
c(97.5% = 2496)
|
| 38 | 10:20 AM | 2679 |
c(2.5% = 1661)
|
c(97.5% = 3508)
|
| 39 | 10:20 AM | 5183 |
c(2.5% = 3444)
|
c(97.5% = 6293)
|
| 40 | 10:20 AM | 5680 |
c(2.5% = 3224)
|
c(97.5% = 7804)
|
| 41 | 10:20 AM | 2345 |
c(2.5% = 1228)
|
c(97.5% = 3189)
|
| 42 | 10:20 AM | 3009 |
c(2.5% = 1484)
|
c(97.5% = 4463)
|
| 43 | 10:20 AM | 2425 |
c(2.5% = 1110)
|
c(97.5% = 3878)
|
| 44 | 10:20 AM | 1814 |
c(2.5% = 1012)
|
c(97.5% = 2507)
|
| 45 | 10:20 AM | 2600 |
c(2.5% = 1417)
|
c(97.5% = 3523)
|
| 46 | 10:20 AM | 3230 |
c(2.5% = 2195)
|
c(97.5% = 4168)
|
| 47 | 10:20 AM | 1064 |
c(2.5% = 598)
|
c(97.5% = 1485)
|
| 48 | 10:20 AM | 2524 |
c(2.5% = 1454)
|
c(97.5% = 3417)
|
| 49 | 10:20 AM | 3268 |
c(2.5% = 1827)
|
c(97.5% = 4547)
|
| 50 | 10:20 AM | 4327 |
c(2.5% = 2807)
|
c(97.5% = 5675)
|
| 51 | 10:20 AM | 2899 |
c(2.5% = 1671)
|
c(97.5% = 4052)
|
| 52 | 10:20 AM | 3476 |
c(2.5% = 2189)
|
c(97.5% = 4574)
|
| 53 | 10:20 AM | 2615 |
c(2.5% = 1383)
|
c(97.5% = 3640)
|
| 54 | 10:20 AM | 1952 |
c(2.5% = 945)
|
c(97.5% = 2806)
|
| 55 | 10:20 AM | 3061 |
c(2.5% = 1623)
|
c(97.5% = 4130)
|
| 56 | 10:20 AM | 4345 |
c(2.5% = 2454)
|
c(97.5% = 5687)
|
| 57 | 10:20 AM | 3680 |
c(2.5% = 2159)
|
c(97.5% = 4752)
|
| 58 | 10:20 AM | 6231 |
c(2.5% = 3567)
|
c(97.5% = 8145)
|
| 59 | 10:20 AM | 3065 |
c(2.5% = 1826)
|
c(97.5% = 4129)
|
| 60 | 10:20 AM | 2456 |
c(2.5% = 1455)
|
c(97.5% = 3321)
|
| 61 | 10:20 AM | 3786 |
c(2.5% = 2134)
|
c(97.5% = 5262)
|
| 62 | 10:20 AM | 2888 |
c(2.5% = 1451)
|
c(97.5% = 4083)
|
| 63 | 10:20 AM | 3466 |
c(2.5% = 2126)
|
c(97.5% = 4400)
|
| 64 | 10:20 AM | 2051 |
c(2.5% = 1127)
|
c(97.5% = 2737)
|
| 65 | 10:20 AM | 2900 |
c(2.5% = 1704)
|
c(97.5% = 3753)
|
| 66 | 10:20 AM | 6135 |
c(2.5% = 3583)
|
c(97.5% = 7975)
|
| Time of Vote | Precinct | Voter Number |
| 7:10 AM | 5107 | 2 |
| 7:41 AM | 0537 | 24 |
| 7:42 AM | 0501 | 14 |
| 7:43 AM | 0828 | 33 |
| 7:03 AM | 2714 | 2 |
| 7:40 AM | 1508 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:25 AM | 0214 | 16 |
| 7:56 AM | 3636 | 33 |
| 7:13 AM | 0218 | 9 |
| 8:07 AM | 4603 | 27 |
| 8:16 AM | 0218 | 60 |
| 8:18 AM | 0222 | 68 |
| 8:10 AM | 1810 | 36 |
| 8:20 AM | 3635 | 57 |
| 8:30 AM | 3110 | 55 |
| 8:32 AM | 0532 | 69 |
| 8:30 AM | 2707 | 45 |
| 8:32 AM | 2702 | 48 |
| 8:15 AM | 3901 | 52 |
| 8:15 AM | 3640 | 64 |
| 8:38 AM | 3638 | 55 |
| 8:38 AM | 3637 | 31 |
| 8:42 AM | 0525 | 64 |
| 8:40 AM | 0501 | 36 |
| 7:30 AM | 0202 | 28 |
| 8:40 AM | 0537 | 56 |
| 8:12 AM | 4616 | 41 |
| 8:35 AM | 3909 | 65 |
| 8:43 AM | 0517 | 69 |
| 8:49 AM | 0834 | 73 |
| 8:49 AM | 0206 | 69 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 8:07 AM | 0801 | 40 |
| 7:30 AM | 3640 | 31 |
| 7:30 AM | 3104 | 29 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 8:45 AM | 2101 | 47 |
| 8:25 AM | 3945 | 52 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 9:02 AM | 1503 | 92 |
| 7:15 AM | 0902 | 12 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 7:01 AM | 0807 | 13 |
| 9:09 AM | 4701 | 73 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 9:10 AM | 1514 | 81 |
| 7:55 AM | 1517 | 30 |
| 9:00 AM | 3914 | 40 |
| 8:00 AM | 5702 | 60 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 9:15 AM | 2714 | 51 |
| 8:15 AM | 2605 | 56 |
| 9:20 AM | 3637 | 100 |
| 9:20 AM | 3638 | 79 |
| 8:30 AM | 0521 | 92 |
| 9:20 AM | 0532 | 112 |
| 9:15 AM | 1802 | 73 |
| 9:24 AM | 2911 | 62 |
| 9:03 AM | 0229 | 95 |
| 9:23 AM | 0812 | 138 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 9:00 AM | 3107 | 100 |
| 9:15 AM | 3639 | 86 |
| 9:15 AM | 0120 | 76 |
| 9:30 AM | 0308 | 109 |
| 9:30 AM | 0807 | 98 |
| 9:25 AM | 3610 | 84 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:35 AM | 0817 | 107 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 8:00 AM | 0106 | 69 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 9:38 AM | 6008 | 49 |
| 9:30 AM | 3636 | 108 |
| 7:15 AM | 0114 | 9 |
| 9:46 AM | 3111 | 104 |
| 9:47 AM | 0204 | 72 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 9:55 AM | 0528 | 148 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 110 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 109 |
| 7:45 AM | 0517 | 35 |
| 9:58 AM | 3636 | 120 |
| 9:49 AM | 2212 | 74 |
| 8:00 AM | 0817 | 100 |
| 10:05 AM | 1503 | 129 |
| 10:02 AM | 0517 | 135 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:20 AM | 2217 | 17 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:40 AM | 2105 | 45 |
| 10:00 AM | 0110 | 97 |
| 9:40 AM | 0222 | 97 |
| 10:00 AM | 2622 | 82 |
| 10:03 AM | 3006 | 101 |
| 8:15 AM | 2619 | 77 |
| 10:02 AM | 0835 | 100 |
| 10:18 AM | 3104 | 156 |
| 10:20 AM | 4701 | 114 |
| 7:45 AM | 0516 | 41 |
| 10:18 AM | 0515 | 420 |
| 8:28 AM | 0516 | 70 |
Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions